Skill models calibrated to your real results, bankroll sizing that survives variance, and tournament simulation on real payouts. Built by FelixD, former CFO of bitB Staking.
Software for the player who runs their own bankroll, advisory for the operator who runs a stable.
Your private bankroll terminal. MUCHO classifier, MOTA core engine, schedule optimiser, and Bayesian belief clouds — in your browser, updated as you play.
Ledger-based accounting, two-layer audit automation, screenshot capture, float management, drawdown tracking, and action swaps. Or just a clean monthly group report.
In Germany, a Honorarberater is a fee-only financial advisor — they work exclusively for the client, never take commissions, and have no incentive to recommend one product over another. There is no equivalent in poker. So I built one, in spirit.
I don’t stake you, I don’t take a cut of your action, and I don’t get paid by the platforms you play on. You pay for software and analysis, and the analysis is yours.
Ten modules across classification, sizing, scheduling, and settlement. Free tier ships the simulator; paid tiers unlock the rest.
Upload your SharkScope history; the model places you against trained archetypes and returns a confidence profile, a luck-vs-skill breakdown, and per-format performance. Internally: Maximum Uncertainty Contextual Hypothesis Ordering.
ClassificationSingle-tournament analysis. Enter buy-in, field size, ROI, and ITM rate; get a realistic top-heavy payout distribution, the optimal share to sell, your real growth rate after variance, and the implied heads-up win rate.
Core EngineModel a full weekly grind across sites, speeds (Hyper / Turbo / Normal), and game types (Standard / PKO / Mystery). ROI curves per category, buy-in decay, time-of-day modifiers, hourly rate projections. Includes CSV import to reverse-engineer skill profiles from SharkScope data.
Schedule & ProfilesConnect Claude, GPT, Discord bots, or any custom agent directly to your MOTA data via REST API or MCP. Your agent can pull results, run simulations, build action packages, and manage stable applications programmatically.
IntegrationForward Monte Carlo analysis built on your real tournament results and real payout structures. Compare four funding strategies (Self-Play, MOTA, Backed, Backed with Swaps) with accurate profit distributions, drawdown risk, and hourly rate projections.
Monte CarloEvaluate how much of another player’s action to buy based on your beliefs about their ROI and ITM rate. Uses Kelly sizing with a 2D sensitivity table across ROI and ITM assumptions.
Kelly SizingYour own personal archetype learned from your SharkScope history — a full uncertainty cloud over your true edge, not a single ROI guess. You’re the one playing, so you know best: every parameter can be overridden by hand.
Mucho+MOTA ExclusiveSkip the CSV export. Live results streamed in from SharkScope on real payout structures — automatic results tracking and full belief-cloud auto-sync with per-site posteriors, for the whole 12 months.
Live integrationPost a yield-bearing bond backed by treasury bills. Sell action with on-chain proof. Results verified via SharkScope and email monitoring, settled automatically through audited smart contracts. Your backers see real collateral, you keep your reputation intact.
Mucho+MOTA · Coming SoonMucho+MOTA subscribers get a managed Lobbyize Enterprise schedule tuned to their belief cloud — the same math behind the strategy tab, pushed straight into the lobby manager. No filter tweaking, no guessing which tournaments to register: just play the schedule.
Mucho+MOTA ExclusiveTwelve months of the full platform and automatic tracking, plus three 1:1 coaching calls with Felix built around your data. Start free with the simulator.
€0
Sign up, no card needed
€1,200 / year + VAT
Billed €100 / month · 12-month term · Cancel renewal any time
Risikohinweis: Poker ist Glücksspiel. Vergangene Ergebnisse sind keine Garantie für zukünftige Gewinne.
Brazilian poker community: find me on Lobbyize's Consultoria de Grade / Gestão de Riscos roster — utility-theory schedules with risk management baked in.
What the platform actually sells is a pre-computed multi-dimensional map of tournament poker — thousands of buckets along (buy-in × speed × game × field × site), each with its own population prior — plus a tool for placing individual players on it and a decision layer on top. Three foundational papers describe the layers; plain-English topic guides live at muchomota.com/learn; full essays at muchomota.com/blog (mirrored on Substack).
The math that places one player at one point. Two-parameter maximum-entropy finish-distribution; the update rule underneath everything else.
Pre-computed atlas of the tournament world: thousands of buckets with population priors, transfer functions between them, and the shrinkage rule that places you on the map.
Action-pricing layer on top of MUCHO's posterior. Sell fractions, fair markup, schedule weights, certainty- equivalent growth — all decision-ready.
Sign up free and get the Monte Carlo simulator only. Upload your SharkScope history, enter your ROI, and watch 500 parallel bankroll runs play out.
A taste, not the tool. The full MOTA platform — belief clouds, per-tournament sell %, schedule optimiser — unlocks with a paid subscription.